Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.002664 0.002846 0.003042 0.003270 0.003531 0.003823 0.004176
2024-12-22 0.002422 0.002673 0.002961 0.003321 0.003768 0.004315 0.005059
2024-12-29 0.002261 0.002556 0.002910 0.003377 0.003998 0.004828 0.006090
2025-01-05 0.002091 0.002402 0.002787 0.003315 0.004053 0.005108 0.006875
2025-01-12 0.001937 0.002249 0.002644 0.003201 0.004010 0.005229 0.007439
2025-01-19 0.001847 0.002169 0.002585 0.003190 0.004105 0.005567 0.008492
2025-01-26 0.001700 0.002004 0.002400 0.002981 0.003873 0.005328 0.008351
2025-02-02 0.001651 0.001964 0.002380 0.003006 0.004002 0.005723 0.009690
2025-02-09 0.001630 0.001959 0.002406 0.003099 0.004252 0.006393 0.012102
2025-02-16 0.001588 0.001922 0.002383 0.003113 0.004370 0.006837 0.014305
2025-02-23 0.001577 0.001929 0.002422 0.003229 0.004682 0.007788 0.019475
2025-03-02 0.001524 0.001871 0.002364 0.003178 0.004679 0.008018 0.022171
2025-03-09 0.001465 0.001806 0.002295 0.003114 0.004656 0.008239 0.025713
2025-03-16 0.001441 0.001791 0.002301 0.003178 0.004905 0.009291 0.039793
2025-03-23 0.001418 0.001775 0.002304 0.003237 0.005153 0.010506 0.073846
2025-03-30 0.001371 0.001722 0.002246 0.003181 0.005143 0.010894 0.112128
2025-04-06 0.001317 0.001657 0.002165 0.003076 0.005005 0.010779 0.137486
2025-04-13 0.001286 0.001625 0.002137 0.003066 0.005087 0.011546 0.464832
2025-04-20 0.001219 0.001536 0.002013 0.002871 0.004707 0.010346 0.183227
2025-04-27 0.001201 0.001521 0.002005 0.002894 0.004855 0.011364 8.175689
2025-05-04 0.001196 0.001525 0.002031 0.002981 0.005178 0.013450 NaN
2025-05-11 0.001177 0.001507 0.002019 0.002994 0.005315 0.014830 NaN
2025-05-18 0.001177 0.001517 0.002054 0.003102 0.005733 0.018570 NaN